Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 89468.147194 94372.001886 99272.867224 104534.880159 110021.308024 115569.626108 121601.183940
2025-06-15 82020.712923 89577.153712 97337.911154 105893.781097 115050.906826 124546.996339 135128.321403
2025-06-22 76396.377800 85769.415214 95605.434892 106675.279303 118764.721244 131544.724940 146053.867242
2025-06-29 71618.871912 82306.926321 93728.292691 106805.830170 121328.699467 136925.117798 154903.395665
2025-07-06 67650.282062 79364.568238 92083.586193 106867.329027 123524.146563 141656.162564 162830.608885
2025-07-13 65423.670547 78153.857008 92169.906282 108675.318093 127505.694132 148243.477005 172731.043543
2025-07-20 63346.537811 76945.703337 92111.512484 110185.184114 131040.043347 154249.934691 181931.342861
2025-07-27 61144.371243 75450.832885 91599.044192 111059.705617 133753.696970 159257.655076 189956.476439
2025-08-03 58697.377849 73539.821250 90488.274508 111132.596066 135450.225336 163032.050255 196521.423740
2025-08-10 56640.728561 71988.439113 89706.148293 111504.523725 137423.548749 167074.615629 203366.727160
2025-08-17 54579.502252 70338.420341 88723.439621 111561.303175 138961.030288 170562.779644 209538.410734
2025-08-24 53277.678310 69546.505117 88711.379092 112728.743280 141780.601938 175537.460798 217459.752791
2025-08-31 51234.669540 67795.583884 87505.829190 112437.167886 142855.016307 178474.466324 223029.629766
2025-09-07 50276.255906 67351.780793 87863.769004 114026.879495 146194.388295 184124.549892 231875.111709
2025-09-14 49022.429868 66485.954414 87658.930782 114890.244060 148627.386534 188681.208284 239424.121726
2025-09-21 47499.593602 65222.797023 86910.713225 115036.433274 150146.966113 192114.735438 245614.685347
2025-09-28 46028.957799 63974.182860 86133.573729 115103.447619 151534.758323 195367.408598 251581.258347
2025-10-05 45500.968935 63918.388782 86842.395335 117024.066930 155223.440835 201445.726899 261033.595582
2025-10-12 44863.578353 63691.951316 87312.269171 118627.487114 158511.783085 207042.549960 269925.270358
2025-10-19 43963.540535 63087.190099 87269.702245 119556.052826 160938.721641 211575.298884 277521.619840
2025-10-26 42740.422245 62014.577500 86588.030051 119633.446919 162264.587147 214727.479882 283407.351741
2025-11-02 41709.892946 61167.725134 86171.524346 120028.324204 163977.424919 218356.985093 289897.286996
2025-11-09 40588.291649 60164.034879 85518.903136 120088.605984 165240.873757 221411.838901 295670.544884